Despite the fact that Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Union Home Minister Amit Shah held almost 50 public meetings and rallies, and party president JP Nadda being relentless in the campaign, the BJP has lost the Delhi Assembly election 2020 in large. However, the results have indicated the BJP to focus on the next big target as the party has already started discussing the Lok Sabha election 2024.
Kejriwal Won Game set for BJP in 2024
Congress has scored 0 seats in 17 states and its national vote share has remained stagnant at 19% and the party looks unlikely to do anything radical to alter its electoral fortunes. Not only did the Congress register a double-duck failing to win a single seat in the Delhi election, it saw its vote share reducing below half of 2015 assembly polls – from 9.7 percent to 4.26 percent which is exactly the good news for the BJP and PM Modi.
On the pan-India level, the BJP is threatened by only Congress. Mamata Banerjee or Sharad Pawar may be a stalwart in their own right but neither the Trinamool Congress nor the Nationalist Congress Party can provide leadership at the national level to pose a serious challenge to the BJP. Also, to be the leader of the Opposition coalition, Kejriwal needs to expand the base of his Aam Aadmi Party in other states.
Without a substantial presence in other states, Kejriwal remains an unacceptable prime ministerial candidate for any federal front or third front that has been elusive since the mid-1990s. Mamata Banerjee, Odisha Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik, N Chandrababu Naidu of Telugu Desam Party and Sharad Pawar are the other leaders who may emerge as a challenger to PM Modi in 2024. However, the same batch of leaders had failed to agree on a common candidate as their PM face in 2019.
This again leaves the Congress as the main challenger for the BJP and pits Rahul Gandhi against PM Modi in 2024. All regional satraps are more likely to agree on a 50-plus Rahul Gandhi as their prime ministerial candidate than picking one from among themselves.
Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, and Jharkhand have a total of 127 Lok Sabha seats and, PM Modi has proved himself to be the biggest exploiter of anti-incumbency votes over the past six years. Hence it seems that the game is totally in favour of BJP.
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